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the pre-1980 period. Measuring expectations of future monetary policy rates conditional on a news shock suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990092
inventories react strongly and positively to news about future increases in total factor productivity. Theory suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119865
We identify total factor productivity (TFP) news shocks using standard VAR methodology and document a new stylized fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213178
investigate different identification schemes for bi-variate systems comprising U.S. stock prices and total factor productivity …. The former variable is viewed as reflecting expectations of economic agents about future productivity. It is found that … used for total factor productivity. -- Cointegration ; Markov regime switching model ; vector error correction model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003751230
productivity in the rest of the economy. To separate exogenous gains in ICT from other technological progress, we use the relative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391362
This paper contributes to the on-going empirical debate regarding the role of the RBC model and in particular of technology shocks in explaining aggregate fluctuations. To this end we estimate the model's posterior density using Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods. Within this framework we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833344
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003364334
In our dynamic optimizing sticky price model, agents are heterogeneous with regard to their age and their productivity …. We find that the business cycle dynamics in the OLG model in response to both a technology shock and a monetary shock are … hours in the OLG model decrease in response to a positive technological shock, since for young workers the income effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301356
Despite massive digitization efforts, the German economy has experienced a marked slowdown in its productivity growth … that commenced around 2005. The successful integration of five million predominantly low-productivity workers into the … labor market induced an attenuating effect on productivity growth. This does not explain the slowdown entirely, however. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900858
identification procedure, we show that the dominant shock driving total factor productivity (TFP) is akin to a diffusion or news … shock and that shock transmission has changed over time. Specifically, the behavior of hours worked is notably different … shock propagation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075006