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assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily …. Heterogeneity prevails in correlations between gold and stocks. After the 2008 crisis, correlations among all three assets increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
forecasting accuracy significantly. Higher uncertainty is found to increase the leverage and macro effects from credit and … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
cryptocurrencies can be a useful tool for investors to diversify and hedge when required in the case of the US markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368898
This paper investigates whether gold and silver can be considered safe havens by examining their long-run linkages with … 22 stock price indices. More specifically, the stochastic properties of the differential between gold/silver prices and … is found for the gold price differential vis-à-vis BEF, BSE, CAC, DOW, KLS, KS1, MXX, N100, NAS, NYA and SP5 and for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013445596
We examine the relationship between private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro area. We test three hypotheses: First, private bank deposits relative to Germany are determined by macro/fiscal risk factors. Second, this relationship is time-varying. Third, time-variation is driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011982211
This paper analyses the effects of containment measures and monetary and fiscal responses on US financial markets during the Covid-19 pandemic. More specifically, it applies fractional integration methods to analyse their impact on the daily S&P500, the US Treasury Bond Index (USTB), the S&P...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584220
emerged in many European countries after World War I. We demonstrate that economic policy uncertainty was instrumental in … Hungary (GAPH) suffered from frequent uncertainty shocks - and correspondingly high levels of uncertainty - caused by …. In contrast, other European countries exhibited lower levels of measured uncertainty between 1919 and 1925, allowing them …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855599
We plot aggregated daily stock returns with absolute value less than x against x and show empirically that this produces a typical spoon-shaped pattern which indicates a special type of asymmetry which has not been discussed before. This pattern disappears when individual returns are averaged; it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444114
. Using data covering most liquid U.S. stocks in seven sectors, we provide ample evidence of the asymmetric connectedness of … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes … not strictly dominate positive spillovers. We find that the overall intra-market connectedness of U.S. stocks increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
The popular scholarly exercise of evaluating exchange rate forecasting models relative to a random walk was stimulated by the well-cited Meese and Rogoff (1983) paper. Practitioners who construct quantitative models for trading exchange rates approach forecasting from a different perspective....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743826