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Forecastability and statistical characteristics of aggregate oil and gas investments on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
Lorentzen, Sindre; Osmundsen, Petter - 2016
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544319
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Pushing one's luck : petroleum ownership and discoveries
Brunnschweiler, Christa N.; Poelhekke, Steven - 2021
We present a new dataset that tracks changes in legal ownership regimes in the petroleum sector between 1867 and 2008 for a panel of countries. We document that foreign ownership has been taken over by partnerships as the leading ownership regime, while domestic ownership is on the rise again in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597015
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Probable oil and gas reserves and shareholder returns : the impact of shale gas
Misund, Bård; Osmundsen, Petter - 2015
Oil and gas reserves are the most important assets of oil and gas companies. A source of confusion for investors in oil companies is that reserves quantities and values are uncertain estimates. Reserves are typically classified according to probabilities of recovery from underground reservoirs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411313
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Barriers to global capital allocation
Pellegrino, Bruno; Spolaore, Enrico; Wacziarg, Romain - 2021
We quantify the impact of barriers to international investment, using a novel multi-country dynamic general equilibrium … asset positions. We estimate this gravity equation using recently developed foreign investment data that have been restated … to account for offshore investment and financing vehicles. We show that a parsimonious implementation of the model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514947
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Trade and investment in the global economy
Anderson, James E.; Larch, Mario; Yotov, Yoto V. - 2017
We develop a dynamic multi-country trade model with foreign direct investment (FDI) in the form of non-rival technology … actual aggregate cross-section data for 89 countries in 2011 to a hypothetical world without FDI. The gains from FDI amount … to 9% of world's welfare and to 11% of world's trade, unevenly distributed among winners and losers. Net exports of FDI …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718208
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Oil and civil conflict : on and off (shore)
Andersen, Jørgen Juel; Nordvik, Frode Martin; Tesei, Andrea - 2017
We reconsider the relationship between oil and conflict, focusing on the location of oil resources. In a panel of 132 countries over the period 1962-2009, we show that oil windfalls increase the probability of conflict in onshore-rich countries, while they decrease this probability in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011603125
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Fickle fossils : economic growth, coal and the European oil invasion, 1900-2015
Fritzsche, Miriam; Wolf, Nikolaus - 2023
Fossil fuels have shaped the European economy since the industrial revolution. We use new long-run panel data to analyse the effect of both, coal and oil on economic growth between 1900 and 2015, exploiting variation at the level of European NUTS2 and NUTS3 regions. We show that the reversal of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442780
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Profit shifting and investment effects : the implications of zero-taxable profits
Köthenbürger, Marko; Mardan, Mohammed; Stimmelmayr, … - 2018
-tax country induces bunching. Such bunching promotes investment incentives in the low-tax as well as the high-tax country. In … equilibrium, affiliates might over-invest and the bunching-related investment effects generate a tendency for too high profit … investment incentives and transfer pricing induces inefficiently low taxes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794726
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How do corporate tax hikes affect investment allocation within multinationals?
De Vito, Antonio; Jacob, Martin; Schindler, Dirk; Xu, … - 2023
between countries generates positive investment spillover, intra-firm production linkages predict negative spillover. Using … subsidiary-level data and exogenous corporate tax hikes, we find that local business units cut investment by 0.4% for a 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540885
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Competition for natural resources and the hold-up problem
Hefeker, Carsten; Kessing, Sebastian - 2016
We study the role of competition for the hold-up problem in foreign direct investment in resource-based industries. The … host country government is not only unable to commit not to expropriate investment ex post, but is also unable to commit to … higher investment levels and increases host country revenues, but hurts pro.ts of international investors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547727