Showing 1 - 10 of 4,007
We examine "Forward Guidance Contracts", which make central bankers' utility contingent on the precision of interest-rate forecasts for some time. Such Forward Guidance Contracts are a exible commitment device and can improve economic performance when the economy is stuck in a liquidity trap....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528970
We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized … controlled trial. We first solicit individuals' inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight … the same average effect on expectations as simply being told about the Federal Reserve's inflation target. Reading a news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958866
coverage of high-frequency identified monetary policy announcements on households' inflation expectations in an event study and …, the adaptation of inflation expectations is stronger than without coverage. Second, we find that coverage of 'delphic … shocks lead to households lowering their inflation expectations, as opposed to coverage of a textbook, 'odyssean', monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550202
substantially. We document this fact by comparing an easy-to-grasp expectations-based policy, unconventional fiscal policy, with a … consumption via managing inflation expectations based on the Euler equation. Unconventional fiscal policy uses trivial … announcements of future consumer-price increases to boost inflation expectations and consumption expenditure on impact. Instead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290
Nowadays, it is widely believed that greater disclosure and clarity over policy may lead to greater predictability of central bank actions. We examine whether communication by the European Central Bank (ECB) adds information compared to the information provided by a Taylor rule model in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872830
This paper explores communication strategies for anchoring households’ medium-term inflation expectations in a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014507809
consumers, with the aim of both guiding and anchoring their inflation expectations. For the expectations channel of monetary … policy to work as intended, central banks need a thorough understanding of the formation process of expectations by the … general public and of the relationship between expectations and economic choices. This warrants reliable and detailed data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383922
We assume that students can acquire a wage premium, thanks to studies, and form a rational expectation of their future earnings, which depends on personal ability. Students receive a private, noisy signal of their ability, and universities can condition admission decisions on the results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402408
generated and agents can condition on noisy public statistics in the rational expectations tradition. We find that equilibrium … expectations ; schedule competition ; behavioral traders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153832
There has been a remarkable rise in the transparency of monetary policy during the last two decades. This paper provides an overview of the ways in which central banks have been providing more information about their monetary policymaking. Furthermore, it reviews the theoretical literature on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237274