Showing 1 - 10 of 6,100
Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about price expectations. Exploiting this information … has implications for the estimation of economic models of energy-intensive durables, for oil price forecasting, and for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434566
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003113337
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377317
We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the impact of commodity price volatility on economic growth in a … panel of up to 158 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that commodity price volatility leads to a … result, we show that increased commodity price volatility leads to a statistically significant and quantitatively large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355147
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing … only if traders over- (under-) rely on public information with respect to optimal statistical weights. Both phenomena, in … uncertainty, over-reliance on public information obtains if noise trade displays low persistence. This defines a Keynesianʺ region …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897551
In this paper we investigate the time-varying relationship between oil and natural gas in the UK. We develop a model where relative prices can move between pricing-regimes; markets switch between being decoupled and integrated. Our model endogenously accounts for periods where oil and natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212645
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749656
suggests that a global bimetallic system, in which the gold price of silver uctuates, has higher price volatility than a global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646314