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We develop a simple model of managing a system subject to pollution damage under risk of an abrupt and random jump in … uncertainty. The results, that imply prudent behavior due to uncertainty, are compared with the ambiguous outcomes reported in the …. -- environmental pollution ; optimal management ; catastrophic transitions ; uncertainty ; adaptation ; mitigation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489041
misallocation costs that remain even in the long-run. Finally, depending on the technology used to reduce model uncertainty, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697052
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496553
This paper extends the transformed maximum likelihood approach for estimation of dynamic panel data models by Hsiao, Pesaran, and Tahmiscioglu (2002) to the case where the errors are cross-sectionally heteroskedastic. This extension is not trivial due to the incidental parameters problem that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009570680
Quarterly GDP figures usually are published with a delay of some weeks. A common way to generate GDP series of higher frequency, i.e. to nowcast GDP, is to use available indicators to calculate a single index by means of a common factor derived from a dynamic factor model (DFM). This paper deals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229863
economy and address modeling uncertainty. We find that bureaucratic complexity is more significant than monetary severity in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457984
misspecification in relation to this public good. Under model uncertainty, robust policies help to correct the inefficiencies … uncertainty ; externalities ; robust policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009682338
-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude … is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed …, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series and find considerable evidence of time-varying policy risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
This paper considers investments in cost-reducing technology in the context of contributions to climate protection. Contributions to mitigating climate change are analyzed in a two-period model where later contributions can be based on better information, but delaying the contribution to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223047