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of an asset price bubble. In an economy with a highly leveraged financial structure, the central bank has an incentive to … asset prices above their fundamental value. The paper shows that the size of such a bubble is likely to be rather small. The … bubble is only equal to the expected value of capital gains on outstanding debt, which are fairly limited in a crisis. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398119
Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments … smaller bubbles if human traders expect algorithmic traders to be present. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392621
This paper deals with cryptocurrency bubbles. First, it points out that a number of recent papers on cryptocurrency … bubbles are awed due to an insufficient consideration of the fundamental value of cryptocurrencies. As even fiat money is said … to exhibit features of bubbles, the same applies to cryptocurrencies. Thus, any empirical investigation into either the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033146
This paper examines how monetary expansion causes asset bubbles. When there is no monetary expansion, a bubbly asset is … to buy a worthless asset from sellers, in hopes of selling it to buyers who may not know that it is worthless-a bubble …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014467370
lend to traders with limited liability in a bubble is endogenous. Bubbles reduce welfare of future investors. We provide …We develop a model of rational bubbles based on leverage and the assumption of an imprecisely known maximum market size …. In a bubble, traders push the asset price above its fundamental value in a dynamic way, driven by rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780495
Should the central bank prevent "excessive" asset price dynamics or should it wait until the boom spontaneously turns into a crash and intervene only afterwards? The debate over this issue goes back at least to the exchange between Bernanke-Gertler (BG) and Cecchetti but has not settled yet. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009377794
observers believed that stock market overvaluation - or a bubble - led to overinvestment. Both the standard and overinvestment … between 15.1% and 45.2% too much capital. These estimates suggest that, even before they burst, bubbles adversely affect … economic activity by misallocating capital. -- bubbles ; investment ; stock markets ; real effects of financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153871
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599390
We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391815
, speculative bubbles and post-bubble secular stagnation. To prevent a similar scenario for China capital controls, a tighter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475972