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Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Nodari, Gabriela - 2018

-Bernanke period only. Focusing on this period, the "risk-management" approach is found to be responsible for monetary policy easings …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011884396

Does the Chinese interest rate follow the US interest rate?

Cheung, Yin-Wong (contributor); Tam, Dickson C. (contributor) - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496593

Monetary policy and the stock market : time-series evidence

Neuhierl, Andreas; Weber, Michael - 2016

We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566444

Asymmetries in the trans-Atlantic monetary policy relationship : does the ECB follow the Fed?

Belke, Ansgar (contributor); Gros, Daniel (contributor) - 2005

The belief that the ECB follows the US Federal Reserve in setting its policy is so entrenched with market participants and commentators that the search for empirical support would seem to be a trivial task. However, this is not the case. We find that the ECB is indeed often influenced by the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002749782

Central banks going long

Reis, Ricardo - 2018

Central banks have sometimes turned their attention to long-term interest rates as a target or as a diagnosis of policy. This paper describes two historical episodes when this happened - the US in 1942-51 and the UK in the 1960s - and uses a model of inflation dynamics to evaluate monetary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011825249

Monetary policy, model uncertainty and exchange rate volatility

Markiewicz, Agnieszka - 2010

This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard present value exchange rate models. Agents are uncertain about the true data generating model and deal with the model uncertainty by making inference on the models and their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937806

Does U.S. monetary policy respond to macroeconomic uncertainty?

Gomez, Thomas; Piccillo, Giulia - 2023

We find that macroeconomic uncertainty plays a significant role in U.S. monetary policy. First, we construct a measure of uncertainty as felt by policymakers at the time of making their rate-setting decisions. This measure is derived from a real-time, Bayesian estimation of a small monetary VAR...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014265941

Policy risk and the business cycle

Born, Benjamin; Pfeifer, Johannes - 2013 - This version: July 11, 2013, First Version: December 2010

The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961

Does institutional change really matter? : inflation targets, central bank reform and interest rate policy in the OECD countries

Muscatelli, V. Anton; Tirelli, Patrizio; Trecroci, Carmine - 2000

We estimate forward-looking interest-rate reaction functions for the G3 economies and for a group of countries which recently adopted inflation targets. Some significant shifts in the conduct of monetary policy are detected in the G3 countries, especially in the US A and Japan. In contrast with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781553

The Central Bank Governor and interest rate setting by committee

Van Ommeren, Emile; Piccillo, Giulia - 2019

This paper examines the role of central bank governors in monetary policy decisions taken by a committee. To carry out this analysis, we constructed a novel dataset of committee voting behaviour for six OECD countries for up to three decades. Using a range of Taylor-rule specifications, we show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064411

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