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Monetary policy and the stock market : time-series evidence
Neuhierl, Andreas; Weber, Michael - 2016
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566444
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Robust bond risk premia
Bauer, Michael D.; Hamilton, James D. - 2015 - Rev.: September 25, 2015
unspanned macro risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346306
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Forecasting exchange rates : an investor perspective
Melvin, Michael; Prins, John; Shand, Duncan - 2013
perspective, a particular approach to quantitative modeling is presented that incorporates return forecasts, a risk model, and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743826
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Dynamics of subjective risk premia
Nagel, Stefan; Xu, Zhengyang - 2022
We examine subjective risk premia implied by return expectations of individual investors and professionals for … excess returns suggest that objective risk premia vary countercyclically with business cycle variables and aggregate asset … valuation measures, subjective risk premia extracted from survey data do not comove much with these variables. This lack of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176923
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The effect of better information on income inequality
Eckwert, Bernhard; Zilcha, Itzhak - 2003
) If the relative measure of risk aversion is less (more) than 1 then more information raises (reduces) income inequality …. (b) When a risk sharing market is available better information results in higher inequality regardsless of the measure … risk aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507996
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Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns
Weber, Michael - 2016
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521939
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Dissecting characteristics nonparametrically
Freyberger, Joachim; Neuhierl, Andreas; Weber, Michael - 2017 - This version: February 2017
We propose a nonparametric method to test which characteristics provide independent information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619632
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Monetary policy through production networks : evidence from the stock market
Ozdagli, Ali; Weber, Michael - 2017 - This version: May 2017
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657891
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Stock market returns, corporate governance and capital market equilibrium
Parigi, Bruno; Pelizzon, Loriana; Thadden, Ernst-Ludwig von - 2013
This paper proposes a theoretical model that incorporates corporate governance into the basic CAPM, where corporate governance affects the disutility of managerial effort and the possibility of managers to divert company resources. It shows that corporate governance affects firms’ stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212666
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Corporate debt and stock returns : evidence from U.S. firms during the 2020 oil crash
Arezki, Rabah; Cho, Caleb; Nguyen, Ha; Nguyen, Kate; … - 2022
This paper explores the effect of oil price fluctuations on the stock returns of U.S. oil firms using a strategy of identification through heteroskedasticity exploiting the 2020 oil crash. Results are twofold. First, we find that a decline in oil prices statistically significantly reduces stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013205096