risk include an additional stress component introduced by the recent Basel 2.5 regulation. Our optimization with the Basel … relatively low market volatility may have unintended consequences for banks' risk exposure. …

From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive … has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …

We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and … effects last for up to 1 month, and are proportionally higher for joint QE actions. This cross-border source of tail risk is …

In this study, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several modern Value-at- Risk (VaR) estimators … proposed methods based on the Box-Cox transformation, L-moment estimation and the Johnson system of distributions. We find that …

In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a … nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank’s actual portfolio, i.e. the …

use of model averaging techniques as a way of dealing with the risk of inadvertently using false models in portfolio … considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for individual as well as average ̕models and its exact …

We measure the economic risk of epidemics at a geo-spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the …’s resilience (its ability of the recover rapidly from the shock). We find that the economic risk of epidemics is particularly high …-hoc (equal) weighting algorithm for the four components of the index, with one based on an estimation algorithm using Disability …

We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high … lower cost in capital reserves. In ES estimation the hybrid model yields the smallest error statistics surpassing even the … EV models, especially in the developed markets. -- value at risk ; expected shortfall ; hybrid historical simulation …

degree of pessimism of the representative agent is the mean of the individual ones weighted by their index of absolute risk …