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A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive … in applications in this context. This study reviews the different volatility models and points out their advantages and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509631
inference even in large samples. Common estimation strategies in high dimensions or with tight restrictions can prove to be … estimation and identification of vector autoregressions to achieve sharper inference. First, we provide conditions when imposing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011611169
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003499671
Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using the most recent developments in local Gaussian partial correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505308
The role of expectations for economic fluctuations has received considerable attention in recent business cycle analysis. We exploit Markov regime switching models to identify shocks in cointegrated structural vector autoregressions and investigate different identification schemes for bi-variate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003751230
strong and rising negative correlation between oil prices and the US dollar since the early 2000s, with risk shocks and the … financialisation process of oil prices explaining most of the strengthening of this correlation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748353
return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility … version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and show that the t-DCC model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
What are the effects of beliefs, sentiment, and uncertainty, over the business cycle? To answer this question, we develop a behavioral New Keynesian macroeconomic model, in which we relax the assumption of rational expectations. Agents are, instead, boundedly rational: they have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294890
-skewness, and co-volatility contagion tests. Our analysis is applied to the oil-exchange rate and oil-stock market relationships of …We put forward the novel concept of energy contagion, i.e. a deepening of energy-finance linkages under crisis periods … in energy markets, and test for this using standard correlation measures and recently proposed adjusted correlation, co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922053
A new procedure to trace the sources of contagion in the oil-finance nexus is proposed. We do this by consolidating … extreme subsamples for comparing market relationships in the construction of contagion tests. Our original approach is useful …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120201