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, in the U.S. and Germany, in the period 1990-2024. Specifically, we focus on the lowest 5% quantile of stock returns and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015197299
counterfactual stock market index price change that results purely from the change in the default-free yield curve induced by the … monetary policy surprise. The yield curve change in turn partly reflects a change in expected future short-term interest rates …/odd week FOMC cycle in stock index returns is also largely due to an FOMC cycle in the yield curve rather than the equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052545
This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a fractional integration model suitable to capture both persistence and non-linearities, these being two important properties of interest rates. Two series are analysed, one from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383724
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the period 1962-2021 using two different fractional integration approaches including Chebyshev polynomials and Fourier functions respectively. The results for both quarterly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813850
This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on the spread between the yield on the 10-year … yield spreads in all PIIGS countries but Italy before September 2008; markets respond more to negative news, and their … reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417491
, we find that the effects in yield and spread reduction were most pronounced for the initial announcement on the Public … declining degree to which the ECB surprised markets and the increasingly burdensome institutional set-up of the APP. While yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743065
with a decrease/increase of the GIIPS yield spreads vis-à-vis Germany. Moreover, some news is not immediately and …This paper empirically investigates the relationship between TV news coverage and the GIIPS countries' bond yield …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955600
-à-vis Germany from 2007 to 2016. We use a dataset of more than one million human-coded news items from leading newscasts worldwide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486807
model outperforms significantly most structural and non-structural Macro-Finance yield curve models in terms of cross …-sectional fit of the yield curve. Second, we find that financial shocks, either in the form of liquidity or risk premium shocks …, have a statistically and economically significant impact on the yield curve. The impact of financial shocks extends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937808
This paper studies external sovereign bonds as an asset class. We compile a new database of 220,000 monthly prices of foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering 91 countries. Our main insight is that, as in equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011973856