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We assess the impact of China's bilateral political relations with three main trading partners-the US, Germany, and the … approach with time-varying Granger causality tests, we find that political relationships with China strongly matter in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014443830
Politicians travel extensively abroad, for various reasons. One purpose of external visits is to improve bilateral economic relations. In this paper, I examine the effect of state visits on international trade. I use a large data set covering the travel activities of the heads of state of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003202927
This paper reviews the literature on the likely economic consequences of Brexit and considers the lessons of the Brexit vote for the future of European and global integration. Brexit will make the United Kingdom poorer because it will lead to new barriers to trade and migration between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723466
We analyse the voting pattern in the June 23rd referendum on the continued participation of the United Kingdom in the European Union and evaluate the reasons for the results. We find that regions where GDP per capita is low, a high proportion of people have low education, a high proportion is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523724
The Brexit vote precipitated the unravelling of the UK’s membership of the world’s deepest economic integration agreement. This paper reviews evidence on the realized economic effects of Brexit. The 2016 Brexit referendum changed expectations about future UK-EU relations. Studying its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806478
The United Kingdom has opted to leave the European Union. The trade and welfare consequences of this decision are large; most studies predict a trade and welfare loss for both the UK and the EU. The UK parliament has indicated that it aims for new and ambitious trade agreements following Brexit,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646796
This paper examines the shortcomings in the UK government's Brexit negotiation strategy which reflected Prime Minister Theresa May's weak political leadership. The Prime Minister focused on securing the short-term political survival of her government amidst turbulent and fractious domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012065056
Exploiting changes in the geography of economic integration in Europe, this paper uses detailed bilateral trade data for 50 sectors to carry out an econometric ex post evaluation of the trade cost effects of the United Kingdom's various arrangements with the European Union. The analysis reveals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933707
This paper examines the impact of Brexit on international student migration. In a structural gravity model, we estimate student migration between 69 countries for counterfactual scenarios in which the United Kingdom leaves the European Union one year before the referendum. This exercise reveals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470430
In this paper we focus on the rapidly deepening bilateral India-China economic relationship. Each is deeply integrating … into the global economy through trade and FDI inflows, China is seen as primarily manufacturing-lead growth with India as … China, and the two have to be considered a joint global presence. India and China are thus viewed in the literature in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697087