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derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587888
We measure the economic risk of epidemics at a geo-spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the epidemic hazard prediction, we use data from 2014-2019 to compute measures for exposure, vulnerability, and resilience of the local economy to the shock of an epidemic. Using a battery...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156716
We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and liquidity) measures across the globe with an original and unique dataset that we make publicly available. Using a standard factor model, we derive theoretical measures of tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336426
(EV) models to generate 99 percent confidence level estimates as well as developing a new loss function that relates tail … ; extreme value theory ; bootstrapping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003891679
We propose a novel method of Mean-Capital Requirement portfolio optimization. The optimization is performed using a parallel framework for optimization based on the Nondominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II. Capital requirements for market risk include an additional stress component introduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587953
We explore the design of climate stress tests to assess and manage macro-prudential risks from climate change in the financial sector. We review the climate stress scenarios currently employed by regulators, highlighting the need to (i) consider many transition risks as dynamic policy choices;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249918
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641741
This paper considers the problem of model uncertainty in the case of multi-asset volatility models and discusses the use of model averaging techniques as a way of dealing with the risk of inadvertently using false models in portfolio management. In particular, it is shown that under certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002523934
In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank’s actual portfolio, i.e. the portfolio represented by its current holdings. To tackle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420698
We analyze domestic, foreign, and central banks holdings of public debt for 31 countries for the period of 1989-2022, applying panel regressions and quantile analysis. We conclude that an increase in sovereign risk raises the share of domestic banks' portfolio of public debt and reduces the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383613