This paper explores a range of different forecast methods for Brent oil prices and analyses their performance relative … across forecast horizons. To address this instability, we propose a forecast combination for predicting quarterly real Brent … generates forecasts whose performance is robust over time. The improvements in forecast accuracy and stability are noticeable in …

avenue to measure and forecast regional economic activity. …

Prediction markets - markets used to forecast future events - have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of … prediction markets in order to further their utilization by economic forecasters. We show that prediction markets have a number …. -- prediction markets ; forecasting …

useful information for the prediction of regional GDP in Saxony. Unlike national GDP forecasts, the performance of regional …