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Going to extremes : politics after financial crisis, 1870 - 2014
Funke, Manuel; Schularick, Moritz; Trebesch, Christoph - 2015
Partisan conflict and policy uncertainty are frequently invoked as factors contributing to slow post-crisis recoveries. Recent events in Europe provide ample evidence that the political aftershocks of financial crises can be severe. In this paper we study the political fall-out from systemic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349087
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Ordoliberalism, pragmatism and the Eurozone crisis : how the German tradition shaped economic policy in Europe
Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A.; Nientiedt, Daniel - 2015 - This version: May 18, 2015
German policy during the Eurozone crisis supposedly follows an ordoliberal tradition. In this paper, we discuss to what extent this contention holds and to what extent Germany pragmatically responded to different crisis phenomena. A proper analysis of ordoliberal thinking reveals that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528303
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The macroeconomic policy challenges of balance sheet recession : lessons from Japan for the European crisis
Schnabl, Gunther - 2013
The paper compares the boom-and-bust cycles in Japan and Europe with respect to the reasons for excessive booms, the characteristics of the crises, and the (potential) effects of the crisis therapies. As in Japan the consequence of expansionary monetary and fiscal policies is the hysteresis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743745
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Switching-track after the great recession
Vinci, Francesca; Licandro, Omar - 2021
We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks destroy productive capacity, moving GDP to a lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939
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The collapse speed of China's exports in the 2008-2009 financial crisis
Jing, Ran - 2011
This paper studies the performance of China's exports during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. It focuses on the speed at … which China's exports were hit by this downturn. Product-country monthly exports data is utilized. It is found that GDP … trade prior to the crisis are hit by the recession earlier than other products. -- China ; exports collapse ; speed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009303944
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Did Chinese outward activity attenuate or aggravate the Great Recession in developing countries?
Gawellek, Bastian; Lyu, Jingjing; Süssmuth, Bernd - 2016
Using data on Chinese large-scale overseas investment and project contracts by sector, we analyze whether Chinese outward activity (COA) before the crisis worsened or alleviated the contractionary phases in developing countries. We find that, on average, COA did not increase vulnerability to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420791
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Central bank balance sheets : expansion and reduction since 1900
Ferguson, Niall; Schaab, Andreas; Schularick, Moritz - 2015
In this paper we study the evolution of central banks' balance sheets in 12 advanced economies since 1900. We find that balance sheet size in most developed countries has fluctuated within rather clearly defined bands relative to output. Historically, clusters of big expansions and contractions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528949
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Secular stagnation : is immigration part of the solution?
Alves, José; Morgado, Sandro - 2022
In our article we review the secular stagnation hypothesis, firstly postulated by Hansen (1939), to describe the current macroeconomic dynamics faced by developed economies. Based in the existing literature, we elaborate on a workable definition of secular stagnation founded on four pillars:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815750
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Disorganization and financial collapse
Marin, Dalia; Schnitzer, Monika - 2000
Recently, Blanchard and Kremer (BK) argued that disorganization has led to the output decline in the former Soviet Union. In this paper we introduce liquidity and credit constraints into the BK model and show how these problems can alleviate the hold-up problem. We argue further that barter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781618
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Informal care and the Great Recession
Costa-Font, Joan; Karlsson, Martin; Øien, Henning - 2015
Macroeconomic downturns can have an important impact on the availability of informal and formal long-term care. This paper investigates how the market for informal care changed during and after the Great Recession in Europe. We use data from the Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288788