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We study a large-scale intervention designed by civil society organizations to reduce vote buying in Uganda’s 2016 elections. We study this intervention in light of a model where incumbents benefit from a first-mover and valence advantage, vote buying and campaigning are complementary, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636844
The aim of this paper is to study the effect of local corruption on political participation which is mediated by the … press. Focusing on Italy, we generate a daily measure of exposition to local corruption screening articles of main Italian … press agency. Applying an event-study methodology on local elections, two results emerge. First, corruption exposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721582
We estimate the causal effect of the electoral system on corruption by leveraging a specificity of the French electoral … system. Exploiting that discontinuity in a regression discontinuity design and using survey and actual corruption data, we … find that the proportional list system results in higher levels of perceived and actual corruption than the individual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015061142
This paper investigates the relationship between electoral incentives, institutions and corruption. We assume that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003730296
Many countries, especially developing ones, follow procyclical fiscal policies, namely spending goes up (taxes go down) in booms and spending goes down (taxes go up) in recessions. We provide an explanation for this suboptimal fiscal policy based upon political distortions and incentives for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003201852
I examine whether elections influence perceived corruption in the public sector. Perceived corruption in the public … sector is measured by the reversed Transparency International's Perception of Corruption Index (CPI). The dataset includes … perceived corruption in the public sector increased before elections. The effect is especially pronounced before early elections …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011941292
Can right-wing terrorism increase support for far-right populist parties, and if so, why? Exploiting quasi-random variation between successful and failed attacks across German municipalities, we find that successful attacks lead to significant increases in the vote share for the right-wing,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364725
This paper explores whether professional macroeconomic forecasters manipulate their forecasts to influence voting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014583811
positions. In a probabilistic voting model, we show that a lack of financial institutions can lead to more corruption as more …In transition and developing countries, we observe rather high levels of corruption even if they have democratic … high corruption levels. Our model is based on the fact that corrupt offcials have to pay an entry fee to get lucrative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451286
This paper considers the implications of an important cognitive bias in information processing, confirmation bias, in a political agency setting. In the baseline two-period case where only the politician's actions are observable before the election, we show that when voters have this bias, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286492