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Oil prices and the global economy : is it different this time around?
Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2016
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502542
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What drives German trend output growth? : a sectoral view
Lehmann, Robert; Zarges, Lara - 2024 - This version: April 23, 2024
In this paper, we outline material and capital linkages across sectors to quantify the role of the German production network in amplifying sectoral dynamics on aggregate trend gross domestic product growth. This allows us to study the impact of sectoral labor input and total factor productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528208
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Oil price fluctuations and exchange rate dynamics in the MENA region : evidence from non-causality-in-variance and asymmetric non-causality tests
Nouira, Ridha; Hadj Amor, Thouraya; Rault, Christophe - 2018
The aim of this paper is to investigate the exchange rate consequences of oil-price fluctuations and to test for the dynamics of oil price volatility by examining interactions between oil market and exchange rate in selected MENA countries (Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897569
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Did US consumers 'save for a rainy day' before the Great Recession?
Anundsen, André Kallåk; Nymoen, Ragnar - 2015
The 'saving for a rainy day' hypothesis implies that households' saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518800
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On the linkages between stock prices and exchange rates : evidence from the banking crisis of 2007-2010
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Hunter, John; Ali, Faek Menla - 2013
rates ; causality-in-variance ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009727058
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The pungent smell of "red herrings" : subsoil assets, rents, volatility and the resource curse
Ploeg, Frederick van der; Poelhekke, Steven - 2010
Brunnschweiler and Bulte (2008) provide cross-country evidence that the resource curse is a "red herring" once one corrects for endogeneity of resource exports and allows resource abundance affect growth. Their results show that resource exports are no longer significant while the value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003956035
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Energy consumption and economic growth revisited in African countries
Eggoh, Jude C.; Bangaké, Chrysost; Rault, Christophe - 2011
growth for 21 African countries over the period from 1970 to 2006, using recently developed panel cointegration and causality … cointegration relationship when country groups are considered. -- Africa ; energy consumption ; economic growth ; panel … cointegration ; panel causality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009303910
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Energy use and economic growth in Africa : a panel Granger-causality investigation
Arouri, Mohamed; BenYoussef, Adel; M'Henni, Hatem; … - 2014
We make use of a bootstrap panel analysis of causality between energy use and economic growth for a sample of sixteen African countries over the period 1988-2010. Our results show that growth and energy use are strongly linked in Africa. However, African countries are heterogeneous and there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366148
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Islamic banking, credit and economic growth : some empirical evidence
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Helmi, Mohamad Husam - 2016
This paper examines the effects of Islamic banking on the causal linkages between credit and GDP by comparing two sets of seven emerging countries, the first without Islamic banks, and the second with a dual banking system including both Islamic and conventional banks. Unlike previous studies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011416380
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Forecasting regional industrial production with high-frequency electricity consumption data
Lehmann, Robert; Möhrle, Sascha - 2022
In this paper, we study the predictive power of electricity consumption data for regional economic activity. Using … unique weekly and monthly electricity consumption data for the second-largest German state, the Free State of Bavaria, we … that electricity consumption is the best performing indicator in the nowcasting setup and has higher accuracy than other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362425