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climate damage asymmetry tends to discourage cooperation in the grand coalition. The effects of fuel-demand asymmetry depend … fuel demand asymmetry. If fuel is sufficiently scarce, low degrees of fuel demand asymmetry discourage cooperation whereas … higher degrees of asymmetry stabilize the grand coalition. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428830
Although oil price shocks have long been viewed as one of the leading candidates for explaining U.S. recessions, surprisingly little is known about the extent to which oil price shocks explain recessions. We provide a formal analysis of this question with special attention to the possible role...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421672
on the degree of asymmetry and other parameters. On some subset of parameters, the embargo stabilizes the otherwise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281297
measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in … which agents cannot perfectly observe the state of current productivity, can generate the observed asymmetry in the risk … accuracy. In addition to matching moments of the risk premium, the model is also successful in generating the growth asymmetry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129784
We study the information flow from the ECB on policy dates since its inception, using tick data. We show that three factors capture about all of the variation in the yield curve but that these are different factors with different variance shares in the window that contains the policy decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029090
Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177135
aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886884
We estimate a multi-country multi-sector New Keynesian model to quantify the drivers of domestic inflation during 2020 …–2023 in several countries, including the United States. The model matches observed inflation together with sector-level prices … and wages. We further measure the relative importance of different types of shocks on inflation across countries over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434281
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors’ beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015178423
on regional and country-level inflation and real activity. For this purpose a Global VAR (GVAR) model is estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015158099