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, monetary policy, credit, primary commodity) shocks facing an emerging economy. We estimate the model with Bayesian methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029113
We develop a non-linear forecast combination rule based on copulas that incorporate the dynamic interaction between individual predictors. This approach is optimal in the sense that the resulting combined forecast produces the highest discriminatory power as measured by the receiver operating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475341
aggregates in the post-war U.S. economy. -- Real Business Cycle ; Bayesian estimation ; VARMA errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833344
We use Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to evaluate the robustness of determinants of economic growth in a new dataset of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806087
explaining the observed variation in investment and hours. -- endogenous growth ; human capital ; real business cycles ; Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850283
. There exist perfect Bayesian equilibria in which the third party's intervention worsens the conflict by energizing her ally … commitment by the third party to a given level of assistance may be welfare-improving. -- Bayesian equilibrium ; Grossman …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003854485
We propose a semi-cooperative game theoretic approach to check whether a given coalition is stable in a Bayesian game … possible explanation for cartels' structures (not) observed in practice. -- auctions ; Bayesian game ; collusion ; core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974150
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