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Our friend and colleague Rüdiger Dornbusch passed away before he was able tocomplete his book based on the Munich Lectures in Economics that he gave inNovember 17, 1998, at the Center for Economic Studies of Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität.The lectures contain a fascinating overview of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507825
This paper studies the determinants of shifts in debt composition among emerging market non-financial corporates. We show that the determinants of bond market access in EMs vary with global cyclical conditions and across local and foreign currency markets. We find that the role for institutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615812
We analyse how reversals of several types of capital flows impact currency crises in emerging market and developing economies. Estimates of logit models show that reversals of (equity and debt) portfolio flows significantly increase the likelihood of currency crises in emerging market economies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502445
In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have witnessed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410453
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599390
There is no agreement regarding the growth-enhancing effects of financial liberalization, mainly because it is associated with risky international bank flows, lending booms, and crises. In this paper we make the case for liberalization despite the occurrence of crises. We show that in developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402501
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, and Taiwan) over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
This paper analyses the short- and long-term effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cross-border portfolio flows between the US and 41 developed and emerging economies over the period January 1992-November 2022. We find that geopolitical uncertainty decreases equity inflows from other countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065292
This paper critically reviews the theoretical basis for the provision of the global financial safety net (GFSN) and provide a comprehensive database covering four elements of the GFSN (foreign exchange reserves, IMF financing, central bank swap lines and regional financing arrangements) for over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565481
We construct several measures for the global financial cycle using dynamic factor models and data for 25 advanced and emerging countries over 1980-2019. Our results suggest that global cycles in asset prices and capital flows are highly similar and synchronized, especially during crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186798