economic growth in upcoming years. We first analyze the economic effects of changing working-age shares in a standard empirical … growth model using country panel data from 1950-2015. We then juxtapose the estimates with predicted shifts in population age … structure to project economic growth in 2020-2050. Our results indicate that population aging will slow economic growth …

more generally. Using a novel dataset that provides information on spatial variation in Plague mortality at the city level … growth. On average, cities recovered their pre-Plague populations within two centuries. In addition, aggregate convergence … population returns to high-mortality locations endowed with more rural and urban fixed factors of production. Land suitability …

complement non-routine labor. I show that while it is optimal to distort robot adoption, robots may be either taxed or subsidized …. The robot tax exploits general-equilibrium effects to compress the wage distribution. Wage compression reduces income …-tax distortions of labor supply, thereby raising welfare. In the calibrated model, the optimal robot tax for the US is positive and …

relative wage growth in high-wage occupations and significantly contributes to routine- and abstract-biased labor market …

premature death, pension policies and long-term care. -- life expectancy ; mortality ; optimal public policy …

population aging may facilitate the adoption of strategies and policies encouraging inventive activity and economic growth. …

This paper examines the labor market implications of investment in automation over the life cycle of ICT and robot …