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Jiang, Zhengyang; Lustig, Hanno; Nieuwerburgh, Stijn van; … - 2021

Governments face a trade-off between insuring bondholders and taxpayers. If the government fully insures bondholders by manufacturing risk-free zero-beta debt, then it cannot also insure taxpayers against permanent macroeconomic shocks over long horizons. Instead, taxpayers will pay more in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437854

Debt sustainability in the case of external debt : an analysis based on Italy's treasury auctions

Cafiso, Gianluca - 2014

The objective of this paper is to assess whether external debt makes a difference for public debt stabilization, where external debt is considered through the non-residents' holdings according to a Balance of Payments perspective. The analysis is empirical and considers the case of Italy, one of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418130

Conservation by lending

Harstad, Bård; Storesletten, Kjetil - 2023

This project analyzes how a principal can motivate an agent to conserve rather than exploit a depletable resource. This dynamic problem is relevant for tropical deforestation as well as for other environmental problems. It is shown that the smaller is the agent's discount factor (e.g., because...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307153

Debt stabilization and debt mutualization in a monetary union with endogenous risk premia

Engwerda, Jacob Christiaan; Aarle, Bas van; Weeren, … - 2015

In this paper we analyse debt stabilization in a monetary union that features endogenous risk premia. In particular, we analyse debt stabilization in two diametrically opposed regimes. In the first regime, the "national fiscal discipline regime", financial markets impose sovereign risk premia...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350136

Debt as safe asset

Brunnermeier, Markus Konrad; Merkel, Sebastian; … - 2021

The price of a safe asset reflects not only the expected discounted future cash flows but also future service flows, since retrading allows partial insurance of idiosyncratic risk in an incomplete markets setting. This lowers the issuers’ interest burden and allows the government to run a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797027

Macro news and bond yield spreads in the Euro area

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Fabio; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2014

This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on the spread between the yield on the 10-year German Bund and on sovereign bonds in eight countries belonging to the euro area (Belgium, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Spain) using daily data for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417491

Modelling persistence and non-linearities in the US treasury 10-year bond yields

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Yaya, … - 2022

This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813850

"Whatever It Takes!" : how tonality of TV-news affected government bond yield spreads during the European debt crisis

Hirsch, Patrick; Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A.; … - 2024

Were government bond risk premia affected by the media in addition to the effects of major events? Revisiting the … European debt crisis, we analyze the role of television news in the rise and re-convergence of GIIPS bond spreads vis … stability and “international financial support” to distressed countries in reducing bond spreads. Moreover, weekend news enables …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486807

Explaining fluctuations in the thrift savings fund daily balance at U.S. treasury

Skidmore, Mark; Alvayay Torrejón, Camila; Pare, David - 2021

In this paper we document and examine unusual fluctuations in the G-Fund, which is one of five funds available in a voluntary federal government employee retirement savings vehicle called the Thrift Savings Plan. The G-Fund is managed as "internally" held debt by the United States Department of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514922

Sovereign defaults and debt sustainability : the debt recovery channel

Diarra, Ibrahima; Guillard, Michel; Kempf, Hubert - 2022

This paper focuses on the debt recovery channel linking the dynamics of public debt to partial sovereign defaults. We build a simple model which incorporates sovereign default and a debt recovery rule. It depends on a parameter that allows for partial debt recovery. We show that the maximum...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176887