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We present real time survey evidence from the UK, US and Germany showing that the labor market impacts of COVID-19 differ considerably across countries. Employees in Germany, which has a well-established short-time work scheme, are substantially less likely to be affected by the crisis. Within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211549
the COVID-19 shock translates into a noticeable reduction in gross labor income across the entire income distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383744
Using the measures proposed by Mink et al. (2012), we reexamine the coherence of business cycles in the euro area using a long sample period. We also analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business cycle coherence and examine whether our measures for business cycle coherence indicate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168003
Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment … of the 2-year ahead forecast error of the Canadian unemployment rate in periods of slack vs. just 2% during economic … of the latter, lead to a temporary increase in the Canadian unemployment rate. Evidence of asymmetric spillover effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 8th, far more than jobs lost over the entire … Great Recession. Second, many of those losing jobs are not actively looking to find new ones. As a result, we estimate the … rise in the unemployment rate over the corresponding period to be surprisingly small, only about 2 percentage points. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206097
programs in a pandemic recession. We calibrate the stationary equilibrium and the pandemic shock to the U.S. economy, taking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166369
explain not only the spread of the disease, but also cross-country spillovers in perceptions about coronavirus risk and in … social distancing behavior. In the early phases of the pandemic, perceptions of coronavirus risk in most countries are … adjustments. Unemployment responses vary widely across countries. Unemployment is particularly responsive to health shocks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263745
how this framework can generate changes in unemployment and labor participation that match those uncovered by the … empirical literature studying the "China shock." We find that the China shock leads to average welfare increases in most U ….S. states, including many that experience unemployment during the transition. However, nominal rigidities reduce the overall U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013384886
per capita) mediated by product vulnerabilities. We account for the precise lag between when the COVID-19 shock hit the … a lower degree of complexity negatively affected exports as a result of this shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013167964
which German-style work-sharing policies can be successful in other countries. -- labor demand ; output shock ; tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011947