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Using neural networks, the present study replicates previous results on the prediction of student dropout obtained with decision trees and logistic regressions. For this purpose, multilayer perceptrons are trained on the same data as in the initial study. It is shown that neural networks lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622475
While traditional empirical models using determinants like size and trade costs are able to predict RTA formation reasonably well, we demonstrate that allowing for machine detected non-linear patterns helps to improve the predictive power of RTA formation substantially. We employ machine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602123
-varying levels of volatility and skewness for the same variables; and iii) supercycles of borrowing and deleveraging. All of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260513
This paper studies how household inequality shapes the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates on aggregate dynamics. To do so, we consider a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model with an occasionally binding ZLB and solve for its fully nonlinear stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014288300
We develop a regime switching vector autoregression where artificial neural networks drive time variation in the coefficients of the conditional mean of the endogenous variables and the variance covariance matrix of the disturbances. The model is equipped with a stability constraint to ensure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668293
This paper presents a choice model based on a model for the behavior of brain cells that is based on neurological findings. The paper shows that it is possible to define choice as the result of a series of interconnected cellular processes, instead of framing the problem from the point of view...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010192076
We develop an algorithm for solving a large class of nonlinear high-dimensional continuous-time models in finance. We approximate value and policy functions using deep learning and show that a combination of automatic differentiation and Ito's lemma allows for the computation of exact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464166
This paper addresses the steep learning curve in Machine Learning faced by non-computer scientists, particularly social scientists, stemming from the absence of a primer on its fundamental principles. I adopt a pedagogical strategy inspired by the adage ”once you understand OLS, you can work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070152
legislature is, the higher is the volatility of public-good provision and the longer it may take for a society to recover from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500614
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003712503