Showing 1 - 10 of 409
The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability …-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the dynamics in the S&P 500. First, we aggregate the weekly information of 115 … improvement over several benchmarks and generate economic value by boosting returns, improving the certainty equivalent return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
This paper investigates the impact of abnormal returns on stock prices by using daily and hourly data for some …-tests, CAR and trading simulation methods are used to test the following hypotheses: H1) abnormal returns can be detected before … the end of the day; H2) there are price effects on the day after abnormal returns occur; H3) these effects are different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390869
in daily stock market returns is associated with a 0.5% increase in the number of fatal accidents. A battery of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888614
We estimate the value of the revolving door for firm executives and directors joining the cabinets of the Trump I and Biden administrations. By combining intraday stock and prediction market data, we take the degree of anticipation of political appointments into account and we offer estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015164602
This paper examines the main drawbacks of technical analysis. Although this is widely used by practitioners, from an academic perspective it can only be seen as a form of "voodoo finance". In particular, it runs into the following pitfalls: Subjectivity; Doubtful assumptions; Unjustified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489574
This paper analyses the possible effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of US monthly stock prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966-December 2020 and then a recursive approach is taken to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494826
presence of the anomaly in daily returns on witching days which can be exploited by means of suitably designed trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649760
Modelling of conditional volatilities and correlations across asset returns is an integral part of portfolio decision … return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility … ; weekly returns ; multivariate t ; financial interdependence ; VaR diagnostics ; 2008 stock market crash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
This paper applies the Phillips and Sul (2007) method to test for convergence in stock returns to an extensive dataset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898817