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An empirical investigation into exchange rate regime choice and exchange rate volatility
Berger, Helge; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Haan, Jakob de - 2000
We test a simple model of exchange rate regime choice with data for 65 non-OECD countries covering the period 1980-94.We find that the variance of output at home and in potential target c ountries as well as the correlation between home and foreign real activity are powerful and robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781534
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Exit strategies, capital flight and speculative attacks : Europe's version of the trilemma
Steiner, Andreas; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2017
proposing a theory-based index of exchange market pressure within the euro area. We argue that the euro area entails an inherent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754245
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Unbalanced financial globalization
Capelle, Damien; Pellegrino, Bruno - 2023
We examine the impact of the last five decades of financial globalization on world GDP and income distribution, using a … pattern Unbalanced Financial Globalization. We then simulate a counterfactual trajectory of the world economy where the RKO … capital allocation, a 2.8% lower world GDP, a 12% rise in the cross-country dispersion of GDP per capita, lower wages in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340224
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Exchange rate misalignments and crises
Stein, Jerome L.; Paladino, Giovanna - 1999
The problem is to evaluate the likelihood that a country will face a currency or balance of payments crisis over a given horizon. When is it rational for market participants to expect a depreciation of the currency? On the basis of considerable empirical studies we know that in both banking and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781700
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Exchange rate regime, financial market bubbles and long-term growth in China : lessons from Japan
Schnabl, Gunther - 2016
The paper argues that persistent current account surpluses and increasing foreign currency-denominated asset positions constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475972
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Barriers to global capital allocation
Pellegrino, Bruno; Spolaore, Enrico; Wacziarg, Romain - 2021
benchmark calibration, we estimate that the capital misallocation induced by these barriers reduces World GDP by 7%, compared to …-country inequality: the standard deviation of log capital per employee is 80% higher than it would be in a world without barriers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514947
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What drives financial development? : a meta-regression analysis
Doucouliagos, Chris; Haan, Jakob de; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2020
This paper offers a meta-regression analysis of the literature on the drivers of financial development. Our results based on 1900 estimates suggest that institutional quality is positively correlated to both private sector credit and stock market capitalization (both as share of GDP). Domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229266
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International portfolio flows and exchange rate volatility for emerging markets
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Ali, Faek Menla; Spagnolo, Fabio - 2015
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, and Taiwan) over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
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To peg or not to peg? : a simple model of exchange rate regime choice in small economies
Berger, Helge; Jensen, Henrik; Schjelderup, Guttorm - 2001
The choice of an exchange rate peg often points to a trade-off between gaining credibility and losing flexibility. We show that the flexibility loss may be reduced if domestic and foreign shocks are coorelated and more volatile. Allowing for a plausible structural change after a peg, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398645
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Does the nominal exchange rate regime matter for investment?
Böhm, Hjalmar; Funke, Michael - 2001
This paper analyses the impact of exchange rate uncertainty upon the pattern of investment in different exchange rate regimes (very hard pegs, intermediate regimes, and floats) by means of a unified approach. The comparison of different exchange rate regimes indicates that currency volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400788