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primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437870
. Information treatments about current and next year's interest rates have a strong effect on household expectations but treatments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171803
article about the most recent FOMC meetings results in a forecast revision which is smaller by half. Our results have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958866
Using the variation in national television news of four major member states in the Eurozone, we find causal effects of coverage of high-frequency identified monetary policy announcements on households' inflation expectations in an event study and a generalized Difference-in-Differences approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550202
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households' expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231514
We study how the differential timing of local lockdowns due to COVID-19 causally affects households’ spending and macroeconomic expectations at the local level using several waves of a customized survey with more than 10,000 respondents. About 50% of survey participants report income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219342
Based on a new survey of German households, we investigate the role of information channels and lifetime experience for households' inflation expectations. We show that the types of information channels that households use to inform themselves about monetary policy are closely related to their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271754
We provide evidence for an expectation gap, where risk-averse as well as impatient households and experts provide significantly higher prior inflation forecasts. Using a survey randomized control trial (RCT), we can show that information about inflation forecasts closes this expectations gap....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015061147
the effectiveness of such policies using changes in value-added tax (VAT) and household survey data for Poland. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789190
first review standard data sources and discuss their advantages and disadvantages. We then document that household inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886870