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Dynamic trading and asset prices : Keynes vs. Hayek
Cespa, Giovanni; Vives, Xavier - 2009
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model. We show that prices are farther away from (closer to) fundamentals compared with average expectations if and only if traders over- (under-) rely on public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897551
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Limit-Order Submission Strategies under Asymmetric Information
Menkhoff, Lukas; Osler, Carol; Schmeling, Maik - 2010
This paper provides evidence that informed traders dominate the response of limit-order submissions to shocks in a pure limit-order market. In the market we study, informed traders are highly sensitive to spreads, volatility, momentum and depth. By contrast, uninformed traders are relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969203
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Higher order expectations, illiquidity, and short-term trading
Cespa, Giovanni; Vives, Xavier - 2011
We propose a theory that jointly accounts for an asset illiquidity and for the asset price potential over-reliance on … Order Expectations (HOEs) about the two factors that influence the aggregate demand: fundamentals information and liquidity … HOEs about fundamentals are subdued, prices under-rely on public information, the market hovers in a high liquidity state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011130
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The trading response of individual investors to local bankruptcies
Laudenbach, Christine; Loos, Benjamin; Pirschel, Jenny; … - 2020
We use data from a German online brokerage and a survey to show that retail investors sharply reduce risk-taking in response to nearby firm bankruptcies, which are not predictive of returns. The effects on trading are spatially highly concentrated, immediate and not persistent. They seem to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012195959
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Inside the mind of a stock market crash
Giglio, Stefano; Maggiori, Matteo; Stroebel, Johannes; … - 2020 - First draft: April 4th 2020, this draft: May 21, 2020
We analyze how investor expectations about economic growth and stock returns changed during the February-March 2020 stock market crash induced by the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as during the subsequent partial stock market recovery. We surveyed retail investors who are clients of Vanguard at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224226
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An empirical analysis of legal insider trading in the Netherlands
Degryse, Hans; Jong, Frank de; Lefebvre, Jérémie - 2009
In this paper, we employ a registry of legal insider trading for Dutch listed firms to investigate the information content of trades by corporate insiders. Using a standard event-study methodology, we examine short-term stock price behavior around trades. We find that purchases are followed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003854420
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An empirical model of daily highs and lows
Cheung, Yin-Wong (contributor) - 2006
We construct an empirical model for daily highs and daily lows of US stock indexes based on the intuition that highs and lows do not drift apart over time. Our empirical results show that daily highs and lows of three main US stock price indexes are cointegrated. Data on openings, closings, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301373
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Bubbles in hybrid markets : how expectations about algorithmic trading affect human trading
Farjam, Mike; Kirchkamp, Oliver - 2015
Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments with only human traders. Today markets are substantially determined by algorithmic traders. Here we use a laboratory experiment to measure changes of human trading behavior if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392621
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Intraday anomalies and market efficiency : a trading robot analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2014
One of the leading criticisms of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is the presence of so-called "anomalies", i.e. empirical evidence of abnormal behaviour of asset prices which is inconsistent with market efficiency. However, most studies do not take into account transaction costs. Their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344868
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A high-low model of daily stock price ranges
Cheung, Stephen Y. L. (contributor);  … - 2008
We observe that daily highs and lows of stock prices do not diverge over time and, hence, adopt the cointegration concept and the related vector error correction model (VECM) to model the daily high, the daily low, and the associated daily range data. The in-sample results attest the importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749656