Showing 1 - 10 of 5,120
The production index is an important indicator for assessing the cyclical state of the economy. Unfortunately, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514105
This paper provides a detailed assessment of the real-time forecast accuracy of a wide range of vector autoregressive models (VAR) that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature by evaluating a mixed-frequency time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154665
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711763
direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807908
This paper documents a comparative application of algorithms to deal with the problem of missing values in higher frequency data sets. We refer to Swiss business tendency survey (BTS) data which are conducted in both monthly and quarterly frequency, where an information sub-set is collected at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013482570
frequency, i.e. to nowcast GDP, is to use available indicators to calculate a single index by means of a common factor derived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229863
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496561
This paper uses a seasonal long-memory model to capture the behaviour of the US Industrial Production Index (IPI) over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427486
We develop a programming algorithm that predicts a balanced-panel mix-adjusted house price index for arbitrary spatial … units from repeated cross-sections of geocoded micro data. The algorithm combines parametric and non-parametric estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597680
This paper is concerned with problem of variable selection and forecasting in the presence of parameter instability. There are a number of approaches proposed for forecasting in the presence of breaks, including the use of rolling windows or exponential down-weighting. However, these studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258549