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model provides micro-foundations for a nonlinear Phillips curve: the sensitivity of inflation to activity increases after … large shocks due to an endogenous rise in the frequency of price changes, as observed during the recent inflation surge. In … response to large cost-push shocks, optimal policy leverages the lower sacrifice ratio to reduce inflation and stabilize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071168
. Moreover, in response to aggregate shocks, aggregate price rigidity moves substantially, the response of inflation is dampened …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597241
stronger bargaining position when they try to prevent a cut in money wages. If inflation is so low that some money wages have … to be cut, workers stronger bargaining position requires higher unemployment in equilibrium. However, inflation is more … stable when money wage rigidity binds, providing an incentive for monetary policy makers to choose a low target for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398859
The paper analyses the reasons for Japan's persistently low inflation since the bursting of the Japanese bubble economy … (low inflation conundrum). It is shown that Japan experienced a structural break from a high-growth period with relatively … high inflation to a low-growth period with exceptionally low inflation since the early 1990s. We show based on a stylized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013284915
estate, as well as the costs of public goods to develop alternative inflation measures in Germany since the introduction of … the euro. Real economic growth as well as median wage developments are reexamined in light of the alternative inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291889
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New-Keynesian Phillips curve framework …1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and domestic output gaps are significant drivers of inflation both in … output gaps on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929651
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
inflation (PPI) across countries. Using a multi-country, industry-level dataset that combines information on PPI and exchange … across a range of econometric tests, input-output linkages account for half of the global component of PPI inflation. We … preserves fat-tailed idiosyncratic shocks and thus leads to a fat-tailed distribution of inflation rates, i.e., periods of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619669
data determine two inflation regimes and find that they are characterized by high and low inflation volatility. We then … exhibit a more substantial and more persistent effect on downstream prices during periods of elevated inflation volatility … effective in State 2. Exogenously differentiating regimes by the level of inflation or the shock size does not reveal state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444690