Showing 1 - 10 of 1,343
This paper investigates the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on gambling activity in China. Based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013503360
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
Does increased policy uncertainty dampen investment plans of firms? We provide direct evidence on this question by … induced policy uncertainty have revised their investment plans differently from those that did not perceive an increase in … uncertainty. We find strong evidence that an increase in policy uncertainty does lead firms to reduce their investment plans. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011472000
affiliation of the future governor is a source of political risk to firms considering business investment. More importantly, the …We estimate the effect of electorally induced policy uncertainty on investment in the manufacturing sector. Because …, and because the policies relevant to business investment vary systematically by party, uncertainty over the partisan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451061
In this paper we offer an analysis of the effects of uncertainty about future tax policy on irreversible investment …. The main message of the paper is that investment is not much affected by the degreee of tax policy uncertainty. This is … that reducing tax policy uncertainty is probably no magic bullet to increase private investment spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781588
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003597980
We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment in Canada is shown to react to uncertainty shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
We model U.S. post-WWII monthly data with a Smooth Transition VAR model and study the effects of an unanticipated increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to be statistically and economically larger in recessions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864417
Using data from the World Uncertainty, World Trade Uncertainty, and World Pandemic Uncertainty indices for 142 countries, this paper introduces three new indicators for measuring uncertainty in Turkey's export markets from the first quarter of 1996 to the first quarter of 2020. The indicators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012240442
This paper examines the impact of economic uncertainty shocks on the populist voting behavior in the panel dataset of 24 European Union (EU) countries for the period from 1980 to 2020. In so doing, we focus on the shares of total populism, right-wing populism, and left-wing populism votes as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263395