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Dancing with the Populist : new parties, electoral rules and Italian municipal elections

Bordignon, Massimo; Colussi, Tommaso - 2020

This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299798

Globalization, time-preferences, and populist voting

Aronsson, Thomas; Hetschko, Clemens; Schöb, Ronnie - 2020

Societies see growing support for populist politicians who advocate an end to globalization. Our behavioral economics model links impatience to voters’ appraisals of an income shock due to globalization that is associated with short-run costs and delayed gains. The model shows that impatient...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258291

Politics in the Facebook era evidence from the 2016 US presidential elections

Liberini, Federica; Redoano, Michela; Russo, Antonio; … - 2020

Through social media, politicians can personalize their campaigns and target specific groups of voters with an unprecedented precision. We assess the effects of such political micro-targeting by exploiting daily advertising prices on Facebook during the 2016 US presidential campaign. We measure...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206082

Let the voters choose women

Baltrunaite, Audinga; Casarico, Alessandra; Profeta, Paola - 2016

Female under-representation in politics can be the result of parties' selection of candidates and/or of voters' electoral preferences. To assess the impact of these two channels, we exploit the introduction of Italian Law 215/2013, which prescribes both gender quotas on candidate lists and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414523

Terrorism and voting : the rise of right-wing populism in Germany

Sabet, Navid; Liebald, Marius; Friebel, Guido - 2023

Can right-wing terrorism increase support for far-right populist parties, and if so, why? Exploiting quasi-random variation between successful and failed attacks across German municipalities, we find that successful attacks lead to significant increases in the vote share for the right-wing,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364725

The role of economic uncertainty in rising populism in the EU

Gozgor, Giray - 2020

24 European Union (EU) countries for the period from 1980 to 2020. In so doing, we focus on the shares of total populism …, right-wing populism, and left-wing populism votes as well as a new indicator of economic uncertainty, so-called, the "World … (IV) estimations, we show that a higher level of the WUI is positively related to total populism and right-wing populist …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263395

Wind of change? : experimental survey evidence on the COVID-19 shock and socio-political attitudes in Europe

Daniele, Gianmarco; Martinangeli, Andrea F. M.; … - 2020

This paper investigates whether the COVID-19 crisis has affected the way we think about (political) institutions, as well as our broader (policy) attitudes and values. We fielded large online survey experiments in Italy, Spain, Germany and the Netherlands, well into the first wave of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263741

Tariffs and politics : evidence from Trump's trade wars

Fetzer, Thiemo; Schwarz, Carlo - 2019

Are retaliatiory tariffs politically targeted and, if so, are they effective? Do countries designing a retaliation response face a trade-off between maximizing political targeting and mitigating domestic economic harm? We use the recent trade escalation between the US, China, the European Union...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011986148

Does the winner take it all? : redistributive policies and political extremism

Daniele, Gianmarco; Piolatto, Amedeo; Sassen, Wim - 2020

We show that regional heterogeneity of underlying fundamentals (e.g. economic history, geography, social capital) can lead to extreme voting in federations. When the outcome of federal policies – such as transfer schemes, market regulation or migration laws – depends on these fundamentals,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200220

Instrumental variables and causal mechanisms : unpacking the effect of trade on workers and voters

Dippel, Christian; Gold, Robert; Heblich, Stephan; … - 2017

This paper shows that import exposure affects voting behavior because it affects local labor markets. We develop a new framework for mediation analysis where one instrumental variable is sufficient to identify three causal effects. Using German data from 1987-2009, we find that import exposure...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781026

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