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. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012373126
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
Despite massive digitization efforts, the German economy has experienced a marked slowdown in its productivity growth … that commenced around 2005. The successful integration of five million predominantly low-productivity workers into the … labor market induced an attenuating effect on productivity growth. This does not explain the slowdown entirely, however. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900858
identification procedure, we show that the dominant shock driving total factor productivity (TFP) is akin to a diffusion or news … shock and that shock transmission has changed over time. Specifically, the behavior of hours worked is notably different … shock propagation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075006
The COVID-19 pandemic is producing a global health and economic crisis. The entire globe is facing the trade-off between health and recessionary effects. This paper investigates this trade-off according to a macro-dynamic perspective. We set up and simulate a Dynamic Stochastic General...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258268
real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this … estimated framework to quantify the output loss due to the large uncertainty shock that materialized in 2008Q3. We find such a … shock to be able to explain about 60% of the output loss in the 2008-2014 period. The same estimated model unveils the role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495676
This paper investigates the effects of uncertainty on the macro economy by replicating its micro effects on individual subjective beliefs. In our model, the representative household has smooth ambiguity preferences and is uncertain about which scenario the economy will be in the next period:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364652
One of the leading methods of estimating the structural parameters of DSGE models is the VAR-based impulse response matching estimator. The existing asymptotic theory for this estimator does not cover situations in which the number of impulse response parameters exceeds the number of VAR model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418016
explaining the consumption path after a Marginal Efficiency of Investment shock. We use an otherwise standard medium-scale New …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515322
We develop a stylized DSGE model in which banks face capital regulation and their loan portfolios are subject to non-diversifiable losses due to aggregate shocks. The framework is used to explore the importance of the interaction between macroeconomic conditions, credit default and bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557772