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We explore the intertwined dynamics of asset prices and the macroeconomy in a Behavioural model of Credit Cycles (BCC) characterized by a credit friction à la Kiyotaki and Moore and heterogeneous expectations cum heuristic switching à la Brock and Hommes. This behavioural approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380476
This survey features three parts. The first one covers the recent literature on domestic (i.e., country-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543
In the presence of macroeconomic shocks severe enough to threaten the liquidity or solvency of the banking system, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400865
allocations and discuss implications for credit risk modeling. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235825
frequency trading, can induce demand for liquidity to be upward sloping and strategic complementarities in traders' liquidity … consumption decisions: traders demand more liquidity when the market becomes less liquid, which in turn makes the market more … illiquid, fostering the initial demand hike. This can generate market instability, where an initial dearth of liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587522
ante risk assessment and derive risk premia for every balance sheet item where liabilities are differentiated according to … priority rights. We find that risk premia reflect both idiosyncratic risk and risk of contagion (network risk). Moreover, we … show that network risk magnifies the gap between the risk premia of equity and debt. We also perform comparative statics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013457674
This paper seeks to understand the interplay between banks, bank regulation, sovereign default risk and central bank … regulators in risky countries have an incentive to allow their banks to hold home risky bonds and risk defaults, while regulators … cheaply, effectively shifting the risk of some of the potential sovereign default losses on the common central bank. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786077
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals.subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586267
From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive … relation between IR and MR is highly stable through time and is robust across exchanges, firm size, liquidity, and market …-to-book groupings. Though stock liquidity affects the strength of the relation, it is strong for the most liquid stocks. The relation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674278
A large literature suggests that the expected equity risk premium is countercyclical. Using a variety of different … measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in … which agents cannot perfectly observe the state of current productivity, can generate the observed asymmetry in the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129784