Showing 1 - 10 of 4,945
This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively … stable following the Bretton Woods period, despite the adoption of different monetary regimes. The estimation of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819378
This paper introduces a new modelling approach that incorporates nonlinear, exponential deterministic terms into a fractional integration model. The proposed model is based on a specific version of Robinson's (1994) tests and is more general that standard time series models, which only allow for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431268
from 1 January 1970 to 26 October 2023 as an illustration. The estimation results based on the first differenced logged …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470433
This study analyses the impact of economic catching-up on annual inflation rates in the European Union with a special … focus on the new member countries of Central and Eastern Europe. Using an array of estimation methods, we show that the … Balassa-Samuelson effect is not an important driver of inflation rates. By contrast, we find that the initial price level and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003982012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003499532
, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest that inflation in France and Italy is nonstationary. However, while for the … exclusively from the long-run or zero frequency. In the UK, inflation seems to be stationary with a component of long memory at … ; inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850335
estimating a smooth transition regression model with different inflation expectations regimes for five inflation targeting …) respectively over the period January 1993-August 2021. Both market and survey measures of inflation expectations are used as the … expectations of both consumers and producers are considered instead of expectations from consumer surveys only. Finally, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806637
This paper examines long-range dependence in the inflation rates of the G7 countries by estimating their (fractional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226769
Carlo experiments, where we also study the estimation of the aggregate effects of micro and macro shocks. The paper … concludes with an empirical application to consumer price inflation in Germany, France and Italy, and re-examines the extent to … which "observed" inflation persistence at the aggregate level is due to aggregation and/or common unobserved factors. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010169
We develop a non-linear forecast combination rule based on copulas that incorporate the dynamic interaction between individual predictors. This approach is optimal in the sense that the resulting combined forecast produces the highest discriminatory power as measured by the receiver operating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475341