Showing 1 - 10 of 1,466
conditions are a major determinant of entrepreneurship. Higher local unemployment rates are found to increase the probability … individuals who are initially not employed respond more to high local unemployment rates by starting businesses than wage … influences resulting in higher levels of business creation. Using the regression estimates for the local unemployment rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009712435
Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment … of the 2-year ahead forecast error of the Canadian unemployment rate in periods of slack vs. just 2% during economic … of the latter, lead to a temporary increase in the Canadian unemployment rate. Evidence of asymmetric spillover effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
part-time workers. A one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate led to an average decline in real hourly wages … of new hires are not helpful for understanding the behaviour of unemployment over the business cycle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761531
We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks destroy productive capacity, moving GDP to a lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939
Although women earn approximately 50 percent of science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) bachelor's degrees, more than 70 percent of scientists and engineers are men. We explore a potential determinant of this STEM gender gap using newly collected data on the career trajectories of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013167153
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009691688
increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to … confirms that the contribution of EPU shocks to the volatility of unemployment at business cycle frequencies is markedly larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864417
We present real time survey evidence from the UK, US and Germany showing that the labor market impacts of COVID-19 differ considerably across countries. Employees in Germany, which has a well-established short-time work scheme, are substantially less likely to be affected by the crisis. Within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211549