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We build a no-arbitrage model of the yield curves in a heterogeneous monetary union with sovereign default risk, which can account for the asymmetric shifts in euro area yields during the Covid-19 pandemic. We derive an affine term structure solution, and decompose yields into term premium and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285648
It is widely debated whether a monetary union has to be accompanied by a fiscal transfer scheme to accommodate asymmetric shocks. We build a model of a monetary union with a central bank and two heterogeneous countries that are linked by a fiscal transfer scheme with repercussions on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492336
What policy objective should a common central bank in a heterogeneous monetary union pursue? Should it base its decisions on the EU-wide average of inflation and growth or should it instead focus on (appropriately weighted) national welfare losses based on national rates of inflation and growth?...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409772
with endogenous dynamics for the pandemic. There are three main results. First, the macroeconomic effects of the epidemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258268
The paper addresses the question what effects the enlargement of a monetary union will have on necessary structural refoms in the (low distortion) member countries and the (high distortion) candidate country. While monetary union lowers reforms in the candidate country, members of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781545
Eurozone countries. We consider the PEPP net purchases by country, and the fiscal policy is measured through changes in debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015397021
The paper analyses the common European monetary policy based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework, which is combined with the theory of optimum currency areas. It shows how since the turn of the millennium a too expansionary monetary policy contributed to unsustainable overinvestment booms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619626
explain not only the spread of the disease, but also cross-country spillovers in perceptions about coronavirus risk and in … social distancing behavior. In the early phases of the pandemic, perceptions of coronavirus risk in most countries are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263745
In the winter 2011/12 a wave of internal capital flight prompted the ECB to abandon its exit strategy and to announce an unprecedented monetary expansion. We analyze this episode in several dimensions: (i) by providing an event-study analysis covering key variables from national central banks'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754245
Using the measures proposed by Mink et al. (2012), we reexamine the coherence of business cycles in the euro area using a long sample period. We also analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business cycle coherence and examine whether our measures for business cycle coherence indicate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168003