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I propose a model of the reserve currency paradigm that centers on liquidity demand for safe assets. In global recessions, the demand for U.S. safe assets increases and raises their convenience yields, giving rise to stronger dollar and countercyclical seigniorage revenues. The seigniorage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015048365
There is a perception that IMF programmes are not catalytic and instead associated with large capital outflows, higher refinancing costs for sovereigns and adverse movements in stock markets. This has led to concerns that an expectation of adverse effects of IMF programmes may deter countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846238
For emerging economies, borrowing abroad is a double-edged sword: it can buffer against adverse economic shocks and smooth their domestic consumption; however, it can also amplify volatility in consumption, depending on the currency in which the debt is denominated and cyclicality in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013445453
We propose a new channel through which exchange rates affect trade. Exploiting the heterogeneity in firms' foreign currency debt maturity structure around a large depreciation in Colombia, we show that debt revaluation compresses imports due to higher delinquencies and interest rates, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304470
Currency mismatch makes a debtor country suffer from domestic depreciation by magnifying the burden of its external debt. Since external debt can be paid back by exporting more than importing, a crucial channel for inducing recovery is net export. It is not warranted, however, that domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343071
Since the 2008 global financial crisis, China has rolled out a number of initiatives to actively promote the international role of the renminbi and to denominate more of its international claims away from the US dollar and into the renminbi. This paper discusses the factors shaping the prospects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003956012
This paper examines the effects that windfalls from international commodity price booms have on net foreign assets in a panel of 145 countries during the period 1970-2007. The main finding is that windfalls from international commodity price booms lead to a significant increase in net foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009383561
China has been provoked into speeding renminbi internationalization. But despite rapid growth in offshore financial markets in RMB, the Chinese authorities are essentially trapped into maintaining exchange controls-reinforced by financial repression in domestic interest rates→to avoid an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249643
The focus is upon equilibrium real exchange rates, optimal external debt and their interaction, in a world where both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002524134
Even though external debt can play a buffer role against adverse shocks to assist consumption smoothing, it may also exert a volatility amplifying effect, depending on the currency of denomination and the cyclicality of the borrower’s exchange rate. We empirically investigate the nexus between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012218984