Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 2,847
Cover Image
The role of pricing errors in linear asset pricing models with strong, semi-strong, and latent factors
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2023
-strong factors, and latent weak factors. It focusses on the estimation of ∅k = λk − μk which plays a pivotal role, not only in the … estimation of risk premia but also in tests of market efficiency, where λk and μk are respectively the risk premium and the mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549135
Cover Image
Measuring market expectations
Baumeister, Christiane - 2021
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
Cover Image
Macroeconomic expectations and state-dependent factor returns
Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2023
We examine the asymmetric impact of shocks to macroeconomic expectations and their underlying dispersion on equity risk premia across different market regimes. First, we rely on a two-state logit mixture vector autoregressive model and use Consensus Economics survey data on GDP growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388605
Cover Image
A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - 2016
has implications for the estimation of economic models of energy-intensive durables, for oil price forecasting, and for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434566
Cover Image
Robust bond risk premia
Bauer, Michael D.; Hamilton, James D. - 2015 - Rev.: September 25, 2015
A consensus has recently emerged that a number of variables in addition to the level, slope, and curvature of the term structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used to support this conclusion are subject to very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346306
Cover Image
How economic growth impinges on income inequalities?
Alves, José; Coelho, José Carlos; Roxo, Alexandre - 2022
Performing a panel data analysis for OECD countries, during the period between 1990 and 2019, this article investigates … per capita affect income inequality and how they differ. The results suggest a U-shaped relationship of both measures of … GDP per capita is used, inequality is higher, leading to the conclusion that countries with policies that inflate GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013473321
Cover Image
Cyclical asset returns in the consumption and investment goods sector
Heer, Burkhard; Maussner, Alfred; Süssmuth, Bernd - 2013
We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost identically in the US economy. In order to derive the cyclical behavior of the equity returns in these two sectors, we consider a standard two-sector real-business cycle model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786095
Cover Image
Movements in yields, not the equity premium : Bernanke-Kuttner redux
Nagel, Stefan; Xu, Zhengyang - 2024
We show that the stock market price reaction to monetary policy surprises upon announcements of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is explained mostly by changes in the default-free term structure of yields, not by changes in the equity premium. We reach this conclusion based on a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052545
Cover Image
Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows
Afonso, António; Alves, José; Beck, Krzysztof; … - 2022
We consider a new dataset that provides a description of the population of financial equity flows between developed countries from 2001 to 2018. We follow the standard practice of controlling for pull and push factors as well as gravity-style variables, while also accounting for the business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332123
Cover Image
Alternative approaches to estimation and inference in large multifactor panels : small sample results with an application to modelling of asset returns
Kapetanios, George (contributor);  … - 2005
The tensions between books and book markets as expressions of culture and books as products in profit-making businesses are analysed and insights from the theory of industrial organisation are given. Governments intervene in the market for books through laws concerning prices of books, grants...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002734112