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We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544319
Labor market performance has differed considerably between OECD countries over the last two decades. The focus of the literature so far has been to ask whether these differences can be explained by varying degrees of labor market rigidities and generosity of welfare states. This paper takes a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408964
volatility generates investment and growth opportunities in poor countries. But high uncertainty and low overprecision slow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071152
investment in public and private education for low-skilled workers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012313778
This paper analyses the impact of exchange rate uncertainty upon the pattern of investment in different exchange rate … exchange rate regimes indicates that currency volatility exerts only a small influence upon the level of investment spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400788
This paper looks at the extent to which the shift in the lower value added production to countries in the following development "tier" is actually becoming a reality. Several countries in East Asia have been upgrading production patterns and moving up the value chain, this paper looks at how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011891772
This document describes and discusses a new supply side framework that quantifies the impact of structural reforms on per capita income in OECD countries. It presents the overall macroeconomic impacts of reforms by aggregating over the effects on physical capital, employment and productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011638280
outcomes. Lower barriers to foreign trade and investment help MFP. Lower barriers to entry and less pervasive state control of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800715
Does increased policy uncertainty dampen investment plans of firms? We provide direct evidence on this question by … induced policy uncertainty have revised their investment plans differently from those that did not perceive an increase in … uncertainty. We find strong evidence that an increase in policy uncertainty does lead firms to reduce their investment plans. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011472000
This paper summarises earlier OECD work aimed at quantifying the impact of structural reforms on economic outcomes. It overviews i.) insights obtained for the linear relationships linking policies and economic outcomes (including multi-factor productivity, capital deepening and employment) for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388225