Showing 1 - 10 of 3,976
This paper studies dynamics of endogenous business cycles and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy. Without … exhibit a higher volatility than other prices. The numerical analysis shows examples which confirm the typical empirically … observed high volatility of nominal exchange rates compared with that of real/domestic variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538984
exert a volatility amplifying effect, depending on the currency of denomination and the cyclicality of the borrower … consumption volatility of low- and middle-income countries. On constructing the debt-weighted effective exchange rates, we examine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012218984
that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035050
This paper studies the dynamics of volatility transmission between Central European currencies and euro/dollar foreign … exchange using model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility based on intraday data. We formulate a flexible yet … parsimonious parametric model in which the daily realized volatility of a given exchange rate depends both on its own lags as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969723
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly … probability Markov-switching model. We find that net equity (bond) inflows drive the exchange rate to a high (low) volatility … state. In particular, net bond inflows increase the probability of remaining in the low volatility state in the case of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
We analyze the impact of Eurozone/Germany and U.S. macroeconomic news announcements and the communication of the monetary policy settings of the ECB and the Fed on the forex markets of new EU members. We employ an event study methodology to analyze intra-day data from 2011-2015. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902959
We provide a comprehensive assessment of volatility connectedness between the currencies of Central European (CE … currencies before) and document domination of the negative volatility, especially during periods of economic distress. We further … robust with respect to a volatility measure and provide direct policy implications for portfolio composition and hedging. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014414188
Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440410
This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals ́expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009727121
This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831962