Showing 1 - 10 of 349
pesticides are generally more stringent than under autarky. As a result, trade increases the price volatility of crops produced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286489
framework is suitable to analyse both mean and volatility spillovers, and also allows for possible parameter shifts resulting … food crisis and 2008 financial crisis leading to the most significant shifts in the (volatility) spillovers between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498617
. (2023) to estimate global food price mean and volatility indicators, the latter measuring uncertainty and risk in the global … volatility shocks have sizeable effects on food price inflation in all countries and persistent second-round effects on core … volatility) and their effects on core inflation to formulate appropriate policy responses. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490903
We use two approaches to examine the macroeconomic consequences of disruptions in global food commodity markets. First, we embed a novel quarterly composite global production index for the four basic staples (corn, wheat, rice and soybeans) in a standard vector autoregression (VAR) model, and we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565633
We study how precipitation has affected food consumer price inflation (CPI), using dynamic panel estimation of food CPI Phillips curves across countries for 34 OECD member and candidate economies from 1985 to 2010 augmented with climate variables. We allow for nonlinear effects of precipitation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380872
Using time-varying BVARs, we find that oil price increases caused by oil supply shocks did not affect food commodity prices before the start of the millennium, but had positive spillover effects in more recent periods. Likewise, shortfalls in global food commodity supply - resulting from bad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064355
We examine the effects that variations in the international food prices have on democracy and intra-state conflict using panel data for over 120 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that in Low Income Countries increases in the international food prices lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009261830
Studies that examine the impact of food prices on conflict usually assume that (all) changes in international food prices are exogenous shocks for individual countries or local areas. By isolating strictly exogenous shifts in global food commodity prices, we show that this assumption could...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105564
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035050