This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …

This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics …%-30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly to … the twin puzzle of missing disinflation and missing inflation in the era after the Great Recession. Specifically, without …

We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we … various measures of inflation such as headline inflation, core inflation, energy inflation, and food inflation affect the … estimate of fiscal sustainability found previously. Our findings indicate that higher inflation rates contribute positively to …

variables, should not affect agents ́expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both … long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …

area inflation ; heterogeneity ; panel VAR model …

Households participating in financial markets pay attention to inflation news when making their investment decisions …, even in an environment of mostly low and stable inflation. ETFs and open-ended mutual funds holding Treasury Inflation …-based inflation expectations measures increase. Changes in household survey expectations or in measures of inflation uncertainty do …

Using the variation in national television news of four major member states in the Eurozone, we find causal effects of … coverage of high-frequency identified monetary policy announcements on households' inflation expectations in an event study and …, the adaptation of inflation expectations is stronger than without coverage. Second, we find that coverage of 'delphic …