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Twin deficits through the looking glass : time-varying analysis in the euro area
Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022
Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813893
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The Euro-Dollar exchange rate : is it fundamental?
Camarero Olivas, Mariam; Ordóñez, Javier; Tamarit … - 2002
-area currencies. First, using dynamic panel techniques, we estimate an error correction model for the dollar real exchange rate versus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538958
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A tale of two surplus countries : China and Germany
Cheung, Yin-Wong; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2019
We analyze current account imbalances through the lens of the two largest surplus countries; China and Germany. We observe two striking patterns visible since the 2007/8 Global Financial Crisis. First, while China has been gradually reducing its current account surplus, Germany’s surplus has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024585
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Capital flows in the euro area and TARGET2 balances
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2018
We estimate a panel VAR model for the euro area to quantitatively asses the contribution of the TARGET2 system to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011793977
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Budgetary and external imbalances relationship : a panel data diagnostic
Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009
, using recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and SUR methods. We investigate the magnitude of the relationship … panel cointegration tests used allow for within and between correlation, while the SUR results show both positive and … balances. -- Budget balance ; external balance ; EU ; panel cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003808652
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A panel data investigation of real exchange rate misalignment and growth
MacDonald, Ronald; Vieira, Flavio Vilela - 2010
using time series data from 1980 to 2004. We first estimate a panel data model (using fixed and random effects) for the real … of real exchange rate misalignment using panel cointegration methods. The variables used in our real exchange rate models …-step System GMM panel growth models indicate that the coefficients for real exchange rate misalignment are positive for different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969632
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The behavioural zloty/euro equilibrium exchange rate
Beza-Bojanowska, Joanna; MacDonald, Ronald - 2009
Poland is obligated to adopt the euro after the fulfilment, inter alia, of the exchange rate criterion which requires entering the Exchange Rate Mechanism II (ERM II). The European Central Bank recommends that the ERM II central rate should reflect the best possible assessment of the equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813605
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Bootstrap panel Granger-causality between government budget and external deficits for the EU
Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009
period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006), which is based … effective real exchange rate in the SUR system does not substantially alter the results. -- Panel causality tests ; budget …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818006
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The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis : conference paper
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013
This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974
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The impact of financial (de-)regulation on current account balances
Moral-Benito, Enrique; Röhn, Oliver - 2014
evidence exists. We use a panel of countries over the period 1980 - 2010 and employ a novel empirical approach which allows to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436581