Showing 1 - 10 of 527
In this paper, we explore the degree of anchoring of consumers' individual long-run inflation expectations utilizing …-run inflation expectations became more anchored over the last decades, as the degree of co-movement between short- and long … seems that older cohorts, who experienced the high inflation period of the 1970s, remain less anchored in their long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846446
same inflation or interest rate expectations can differently assess whether the level of the corresponding variable is … and affects durable spending and saving decisions. We also show that the variation in inflation preferences can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166152
We study the effects of forward-looking communication in an environment of rising inflation rates on German consumers …' inflation expectations using a randomized control trial. We show that information about rising inflation increases short- and … long-term inflation expectations. This initial increase in expectations can be mitigated using forward-looking information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247283
This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals' survey-based inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745238
We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD … economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations … have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697141
variables, should not affect agents ́expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both … long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764421
Inflation targeting is implemented in different ways – most often by adopting point targets, by having tolerance bands … target types affect the anchoring of inflation expectations at shorter horizons differently. It tests two contradictory …. This suggests that there are some benefits to adopting intervals, but the central bank can anchor inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508768
coverage of high-frequency identified monetary policy announcements on households' inflation expectations in an event study and …, the adaptation of inflation expectations is stronger than without coverage. Second, we find that coverage of 'delphic … shocks lead to households lowering their inflation expectations, as opposed to coverage of a textbook, 'odyssean', monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550202
This paper examines the impact of carbon pricing on firms' inflation expectations and its implications for central … French firm-level survey data. A change in carbon price increases firms' inflation expectations as well as their own expected … negative forecast errors in the medium-/long-run. We show that a significant portion of the increase in inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312549
How does competition affect information acquisition of firms and thus the response of inflation and output to monetary … uncertainty about inflation as a non-targeted moment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200269