Showing 1 - 10 of 190
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813850
structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used … slope of the yield curve are robust predictors of excess bond returns, and there is no robust and convincing evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346306
curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has substantial forecasting power for future bond excess returns, high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547050
*t substantially increases the accuracy of long-range interest rate forecasts, helps predict excess bond returns, improves estimates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688099
The price of a safe asset reflects not only the expected discounted future cash flows but also future service flows, since retrading allows partial insurance of idiosyncratic risk in an incomplete markets setting. This lowers the issuers’ interest burden and allows the government to run a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797027
This paper investigates the informational efficiency of green bond markets using a recently introduced quantitative … inefficiency of the green bond market is generally found to be very similar to that of benchmark bond markets such as treasury bond … green bond markets are very similar to those in the benchmark bond markets. In other words, fundamental factors that drive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505807
green bond returns and volatilities. On the whole, the evidence suggests weaker linkages, and thus a lower degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014234020
default probability, showing that it decreases with central bank bond-holdings. Calibrating the model to Germany and Italy, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285648
development of bond yields and spreads around these releases. More precisely, we try to estimate different asset price channels by … signalling channel, measured by the OIS rate, and the portfolio rebalancing channel, proxied by the conditional bond-OIS spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743065
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is in the process of re-inventing itself with bilateral and multilateral surveillance emerging as a key function. The paper analyses how IMF surveillance announcements may be influenced by political power that member countries exert at the IMF. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003976542