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theoretical predictions in a field experiment in which we pay participants monetary rewards for completing daily meditation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797712
-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the dynamics in the S&P 500. First, we aggregate the weekly information of 115 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
that judges would have an anti-speculator bias. However, in an actual behavioral study, 185 judges did not exhibit such … bias. In another sample of 170 professional lawyers, we found weak support for an anti-speculator bias. This evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011936293
forecaster is more likely to bias the forecast associated with the policy that is (i) less likely to be selected in the … referendum and (ii) associated with greater macroeconomic uncertainty. Second, as the influence of the forecast on the voter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014583811
Although Australian political pundits frequently make predictions about the future, little systematic evidence exists on the accuracy of these predictions. To assess the predictive power of experts, we survey the transcripts of two well-known political programs - Insiders and Meet the Press -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748356
engage in punishment. Analyzing the interplay between types in an additional experiment, we show that pro-social punishers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587542
lives for three periods. Our results show how a paternalistic government may correct for the effects of anticipation-bias … ; adaptation ; habit-formation ; anticipation-bias ; paternalism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009570029
and self-serving bias. As a result, neither market wages nor standard valuation techniques (such as the Becker …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815796
A longstanding distinction in psychology is between implicit and explicit preferences. Implicit preferences are ordinarily measured by observing non-choice data, such as response time. In this paper we introduce a method for inferring implicit preferences directly from choices. The necessary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415271
, meaning an influence of democratic instability on free trade agreements and vice versa. Using an online experiment with two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232853