information approach outperforms alternative forecasting methods in terms of forecast accuracy. -- Forecasting ; aggregation … derived by optimally pooling the information contained in national indicator series. Following the ideas of predictive … errors of the area-wide target variable. In an out-of-sample forecast experiment we find that our optimal pooling of …

A lack of transparency about policy performance can pose a major obstacle to welfare-enhancing policy competition … misperceive the performance of their state's education system. Experimentally providing performance information polarizes citizens …' educational performance. Parliamentarians' support for the transparency policy is opportunistic: Performance information increases …

both sophisticated and naive procrastinators to reduce time-inconsistent behavior. A field experiment on exercising …

Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic …, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this study a framework for nonlinear contemporaneous aggregation with possibly … theoretical setup and the forecasting results. -- forecasting ; stochastic aggregation ; autoregression ; moving average ; vector …

information. We explore several new forecasting approaches for the U.S. retail price of gasoline and compare their accuracy with …