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Dreher, Axel; Kreibaum, Merle - 2015

This article investigates the effect of natural resources on whether ethno-political groups choose to pursue their goals with non-violent as compared to violent means, distinguishing terrorism from insurgencies. It is hypothesized that whether or not the extraction of fossil fuels sparks...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286479

How does the flow of remittances affect the trade balance of the Middle East and North Africa?

Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza; Hassan, Sherif Maher - 2016

Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) economies have had the highest degree of dependency on received remittances worldwide over the last three decades. The region has also had the highest non-oil external trade balance deficit among developing countries. We examine the role of remittances in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557898

International food commodity prices and missing (dis)inflation in the euro area

Peersman, Gert - 2018

This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics …%-30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly to … the twin puzzle of missing disinflation and missing inflation in the era after the Great Recession. Specifically, without …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931321

Efficient management of insecure fossil fuel Imports through taxing (!) domestic green energy?

Eichner, Thomas; Pethig, Rüdiger - 2010

A small open economy produces a consumer good, green and black energy, and imports fossil fuel at an uncertain price. Unregulated competitive markets are shown to be inefficient. The implied market failures are due to the agents' attitudes toward risk, to risk shifting and the uniform price for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969720

The relative volatility of commodity prices : a reappraisal

Arezki, Rabah; Lederman, Daniel; Zhao, Hongyan - 2011

This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in international trade data from the United States over the period 2002 to 2011. The conventional wisdom in academia and policy circles is that primary commodity prices are more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489287

Global cycles : capital flows, commodities, and sovereign defaults, 1815-2015

Reinhart, Carmen M.; Reinhart, Vincent; Trebesch, Christoph - 2016 - This draft: January 13, 2016

Capital flow and commodity cycles have long been connected with economic crises. Sparse historical data, however, has made it difficult to connect their timing. We date turning points in global capital flows and commodity prices across two centuries and provide estimates from alternative data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421571

Macro news and commodity returns

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Fabio; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2015

This paper adopts a VAR-GARCH approach to model the dynamic linkages between both the mean and the variance of macro news and commodity returns (Gold, Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Copper, Aluminium and Crude Oil) over the period 01/01/2001-26/09/2014. The chosen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346863

Coerced labor in the cotton sector : how global commodity prices (don't) transmit to the poor

Danzer, Alexander M.; Grundke, Robert - 2016 - This Version: May 2016

This paper investigates the economic fortunes of coerced vs. free workers in a global supply chain. To identify the differential treatment of otherwise similar workers we resort to a unique exogenous labor demand shock that affects wages in voluntary and involuntary labor relations differently....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482929

Macroeconomic effects of disruptions in global food commodity markets : evidence for the United States

De Winne, Jasmien; Peersman, Gert - 2016

raises food commodity prices, and leads to a rise in food, energy and core inflation, and to a persistent fall in real GDP …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565633

Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty : a common factor analysis

Henzel, Steffen; Rengel, Malte - 2014

Uncertainty about the future course of the economy is a possible driver of aggregate fluctuations. To identify the different dimensions of uncertainty in the macroeconomy we construct a large dataset covering all types of economic uncertainty. We then identify two fundamental factors which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412767

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